Market Reports
Basquiat gave the market a timely boost in March with a $14.4M sale at Christie’s Hong Kong. While London sales lagged, global activity told a different story. Prints emerged as a standout: LOPF and IFPDA drew strong crowds, Art Basel Hong Kong saw a $1.5M Lichtenstein sale, and a white-glove Warhol auction in Vienna signalled renewed global confidence.
The uptick couldn’t come at a more critical moment. March marked the third consecutive year of declining London totals for the major sales, with hammer values across major houses down a combined 32%. With blue chip names still commanding attention - albeit coming down in value slightly - and affordable prints generating fresh energy, the question now is whether these segments can carry the weight and help stabilise the market as 2025 unfolds.
March’s marquee auctions delivered a few key takeaways. First, the appetite for Surrealism is undeniable - Christie’s Surrealist Art sale saw strong results, led by René Magritte’s La reconnaissance infinie, which achieved £10.3 million.
Sotheby’s top consignments included Banksy’s Crude Oil – Vettriano and Yoshitomo Nara’s Cosmic Eyes (in the Milky Lane), while Phillips offered an unusual, Jean-Michel Basquiat titled Pattaya - a depiction of a Thai beach and a sharp departure from the artist’s usual urban subjects. Though these works sold, they did so without much heat, reflecting a broader cooling at the top end of the market.
While high-value works struggled for momentum, the energy was clearly elsewhere throughout the month. Strong bidding emerged around more affordable works, reflecting a trend we've seen building since the beginning of the year. Auction enthusiasm from these major sales seemed subpar at best, and the numbers reflected it - highlighting why the prints market, a generally more affordable and less volatile medium, is quickly becoming a bright spot.
In contrast to the slower auction rooms, the 40th edition of the London Original Print Fair (LOPF) at Somerset House opened to packed crowds, with gallerists noting that the VIP preview night drew even larger numbers. Just days later, the IFPDA Print Fair in New York welcomed more than 5,000 attendees at its own preview. We saw it firsthand: both fairs buzzed with energy, collaboration, and fresh momentum. At LOPF, some galleries even partnered to share booths - a format I anticipate will be spotlighted in the upcoming UBS Art Basel 2025 Market Report. At IFPDA, Rebecca Van Norman, MyArtBroker’s Head of US Consignments, also observed a noticeable shift - fewer of the typical American Pop works by blue chip names were on view. But rather than signalling a downturn, she framed it as part of a broader market recalibration - and a moment ripe for savvy collecting.
Rebecca’s insight is backed by data: according to the 2024 Artprice Global Market Report, print sales more than doubled last year. This was driven, not by blue chip artists, but by works priced under $1,000. However, it is noted that long-term value continues to be anchored by blue chip names, and as Rebecca observed, this is an advantageous moment. But the real opportunity isn’t limited to either end of the spectrum - not just six-figure prints by market giants or ultra-emerging artists. What we’re seeing, and will continue to see throughout the year, is a growing appetite for accessible, yet still investment-worthy works - especially among younger and first-time collectors.
Women artists had a refreshing and notable presence at both print fairs. I highlighted Tracey Emin in my review of LOPF, while Rebecca pointed to strong showings from Louise Bourgeois, Mickalene Thomas, and Kiki Smith in New York. These are established, investment-worthy names - and their works remain comparatively accessible, not just when stacked against six-figure blue chip pieces, but even in relation to their original works which sell for millions. As detailed in our Female Print Market Report, the average 2024 print value for Emin was £3,400, and £2,000 for Bourgeois - clear evidence that significant acquisitions don’t have to come with sky-high price tags.
In a market that’s recalibrating, it’s all about spotting the opportunity - and knowing how to act on it.
Despite the momentum we witnessed at the fairs, the online Prints & Multiples auctions at Sotheby’s and Christie’s, which unfolded over the course of several weeks in March, told a more tempered story. From the equivalent sales of last year, Christie’s saw a sharp 45% drop at the hammer, while Sotheby’s fared better, down just 8%. So, a fair question arises: if prints are performing so well, why the dip? The answer is nuanced, just like the cyclical nature of the art market.
At Sotheby’s, the top lots were Roy Lichtenstein prints - a category coming off record-breaking momentum in 2024. As anticipated, due to the timing, format of the sale, and high estimates, results were mixed for Lichtenstein works offered. Reflections On Crash hammered at £70,000, landing 41% below its high estimate, and Roommates reached £330,000 - a commendable result but more than 50% below its high estimate. However, Reflections On The Scream and Forms In Space both exceeded expectations, hammering at £130,000 apiece.
Andy Warhol’s performance was similarly uneven. Four of his works were withdrawn ahead of the sale, representing £1.1 million in lost low estimates. Had those works sold with modest bidding at best, the total hammer could have surpassed £3 million, which would have marked a three-year high for this sale.
At Christie’s, inconsistency continued - but David Hockney emerged as the standout. Several of his works under the £50,000 mark drew intense bidding all landing above estimates (results below include fees):
The clear takeaway? There’s strong demand, but it’s concentrated around lower-estimate, accessible works.
Warhol’s prints showed a similarly split performance. Mother and Child from the Cowboys and Indians series set a new record at £40,320, and Hammer and Sickle jumped 53% above previous benchmarks to reach £17,640. Yet, higher-estimated value prints like Queen Elizabeth and Mick Jagger went unsold.
That said, in the world of editioned works, unsold does not equal unwanted. Timing and venue matter. For example, Sotheby’s sold a Mick Jagger print for £95,250 (with fees) in their Prints and Multiples sales, which concluded just days before Christie’s whose sale offered a near-identical one. Similar situations occurred in the same sales of 2024 where where a Warhol Muhammad Ali (complete set) went unsold at Christie’s, yet realised £279,400 (with fees) at Sotheby’s.
When similar editions appear back-to-back, the buyer base becomes split. A savvy collector isn’t likely to bid higher than a recent comp, not just for pricing logic - but also because they know more editions will appear down the line. It’s part of the psychological nuance of print collecting, but more so the nature of the public auction cycle, another reason why many sellers are choosing private sales platforms to achieve the best value for their prints during the current landscape.
At the core of these mixed results lies one key reality: higher-value prints are simply harder to move right now. It’s not about lack of interest - it’s about liquidity. The collector base at the top is thinner, and sales depend more heavily on timing, positioning, and context.
Take the chart above, which combines the top five print sales from Christie’s and Sotheby’s Prints & Multiples auctions and compares the hammer to low estimate in 2024 (blue) versus 2025 (red). A growing question in the market is whether auction houses have been pricing works too aggressively. But what we see here is that 2025 estimates have, in fact, come down across the board - along with hammer prices. It’s a compelling argument that sellers are pricing more conservatively, not due to lack of demand, but in a strategic effort to release liquidity. In other words, they’re prioritising successful sales over pushing for peak prices in a tighter, more cautious environment. By contrast, 2024’s top lots achieved stronger results against higher estimates, pointing to a period of greater confidence and deeper liquidity at the top.
Opportunity hasn’t vanished from the art market - it’s simply shifted. Liquidity has moved down the price ladder, where competition is fierce and buyer activity remains strong. For collectors and investors alike, this recalibration isn't a red flag - it’s an open door, an invitation to acquire iconic works at compelling levels. Take Water Lily Pond with Reflections by Lichtenstein, which sold for $1.5 million through Thaddaeus Ropac at Art Basel Hong Kong last week. The result was in line with expectations, but according to MyArtBroker’s MyPortfolio Value Indicator, the work boasts a 15% annual average growth rate (AAGR)- a powerful signal of both near-term value and long-term upside.
While London’s marquee auctions and online print sales underwhelmed - marked in particular by a notably muted performance from the King of Pop, Andy Warhol - the global market told a more optimistic story.
In Vienna, Dorotheum’s Andy Warhol: The 1950s Drawings sale was a standout success, bringing in an impressive £1.7 million - a staggering 563% above the low estimate - with a 100% sell-through rate across 221 lots. A white-glove sale by every definition, and a significant win for Warhol’s works on paper and the broader prints market.
Meanwhile, in Hong Kong, March’s major sales at Christie’s and Sotheby’s closed on a high note. Both evening and day auctions massively outperformed presale expectations, with Christie’s delivering the highest-valued lot of the year so far: Basquiat’s Sabado por la Noche (Saturday Night), which achieved $14.4 million.
As April begins, so does Q2 for the art market. Even if London’s March performance was more muted than expected, let’s be clear: this isn’t about London losing its place. The city remains a cornerstone of the global art trade. What we’re witnessing instead is a broader evolution - an expansion not just geographically, with strength in other global regions, but across collecting categories and mediums. Diversification will arguably be the most important trend of 2025 as it highlights opportunities.
We’ll be keeping a sharp eye on the live print sales unfolding this month, the high-stakes May auctions in New York, and the next wave of global fairs.